813 
 WTPZ41 KNHC 291432
 TCDEP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012014
 800 AM PDT THU MAY 29 2014
 
 The satellite presentation of Amanda has been deteriorating during
 the last several hours.  The remaining deep convection is confined
 to a band that is about 150 n mi from the center, and even that
 feature lacks curvature.  Dvorak classifications continue to
 decrease, and on that basis, Amanda is downgraded to a tropical
 depression with an initial intensity of 30 kt.  Continued weakening
 is forecast, and Amanda will likely become a remnant low in about a
 day or sooner.  Dissipation is predicted to occur in about 4 days,
 following the GFS and ECMWF models.
 
 The low-level center of Amanda had been difficult to find
 overnight, but recent microwave and visible images indicate that it
 is located to the south of the previous estimate.  In addition, the
 center itself has become increasingly elongated and diffuse.  The
 depression, or its remnant low, is expected to move eastward or
 east-northeastward at a decreasing pace for the next 24 to 36 hours.
 Beyond that time, whatever is left of Amanda should turn
 southwestward when it is steered by a building low- to mid-level
 ridge to its north.  The NHC track forecast has been adjusted
 southward mainly to account for the adjusted initial position.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  29/1500Z 16.3N 110.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  30/0000Z 16.5N 109.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
  24H  30/1200Z 16.6N 108.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  31/0000Z 16.6N 108.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  31/1200Z 16.7N 108.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  01/1200Z 16.1N 109.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Cangialosi