Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 596 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 162040
 TCMEP1
  
 TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
 2100 UTC THU MAY 16 2013
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 109.1W AT 16/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 109.1W AT 16/2100Z
 AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 108.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z  9.8N 110.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 10.8N 112.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 11.5N 113.3W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 12.0N 114.7W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.0N 117.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 13.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 13.0N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N 109.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BERG
  
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for ALVIN

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman