Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 983 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 151440
 TCMEP1
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
 1500 UTC WED MAY 15 2013
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.2N 103.6W AT 15/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.2N 103.6W AT 15/1500Z
 AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.0N 103.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z  8.6N 105.3W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z  9.1N 107.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z  9.5N 108.9W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 10.0N 110.4W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.5N 113.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 13.0N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 15.5N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.2N 103.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BERG
  
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for ALVIN

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman