748
WTPZ21 KNHC 310239
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012007
0300 UTC THU MAY 31 2007
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 115.2W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 115.2W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 115.0W
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 13.2N 115.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.1N 117.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.9N 118.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.4N 119.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 11.5N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 10.5N 122.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 115.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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