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 991 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 050233
 TCDEP2
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022016
 800 PM PDT MON JUL 04 2016
 
 Agatha has been devoid of deep convection for about 12 hours, and
 since the cyclone continues to move into an environment of very dry
 mid-level air, cool water, and strong shear, organized deep
 convection is unlikely to return.  On this basis, Agatha has been
 declared a remnant low, and this is the last NHC advisory.  The
 initial wind speed of 30 kt is based on the earlier ASCAT data, and
 could be a little generous.  Given the hostile conditions, the
 remnant low should continue to weaken and is expected to dissipate
 in 2 to 3 days.
 
 The cyclone has been moving generally westward or 280/10 kt, and is
 forecast to continue westward in the low-level easterly flow until
 dissipation occurs.  Additional information on the remnant low can
 be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
 Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
 on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  05/0300Z 19.3N 130.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  12H  05/1200Z 19.7N 131.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  06/0000Z 20.0N 133.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  06/1200Z 20.0N 135.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  07/0000Z 20.0N 137.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Brown
 
 
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