017 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 042040
 TCDEP2
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022016
 200 PM PDT MON JUL 04 2016
 
 Strong shear, cooler waters, and drier air are taking their toll on
 Agatha.  The system has lost practically all deep convection, and
 is technically too weak to classify via the Dvorak technique.  A
 recent ASCAT pass indicated that maximum winds have decreased to
 near 30 kt.  Given the hostile environment, Agatha is likely to
 continue weakening, and advisories on this system will likely be
 discontinued soon.
 
 With more visible imagery now available, the center has been
 repositioned just slightly to the north of the previous track, but
 the motion is still basically toward the west, or 280/11 kt.  The
 cyclone should continue a generally westward motion in the
 low-level easterly flow until it dissipates.  The official track
 forecast is close to the dynamical model consensus.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  04/2100Z 18.8N 129.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  05/0600Z 19.2N 130.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  05/1800Z 19.6N 132.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  06/0600Z 19.7N 134.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  06/1800Z 19.6N 136.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Pasch