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PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 405N 381W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 405N 381W 50 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 405N 381W 64 21 22(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 425N 342W 34 51 44(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 425N 342W 50 1 78(79) 5(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
24 425N 342W 64 X 21(21) 11(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
36 438N 310W 34 1 55(56) 28(84) 5(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90)
36 438N 310W 50 X 12(12) 43(55) 7(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
36 438N 310W 64 X 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
48 450N 275W 34 X 6( 6) 36(42) 23(65) 7(72) 1(73) X(73)
48 450N 275W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 21(31) 5(36) X(36) X(36)
48 450N 275W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 470N 200W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 31(35) 5(40) X(40)
72 470N 200W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) X(14)
72 470N 200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
96 485N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 10(24) X(24)
96 485N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
96 485N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 70 65 55 45 35 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
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