446
FONT13 KNHC 231216
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1200 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006
AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 382N 448W 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 382N 448W 50 90 8(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 382N 448W 64 44 30(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 397N 403W 34 16 70(86) 6(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93)
24 397N 403W 50 X 63(63) 13(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
24 397N 403W 64 X 29(29) 11(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
36 415N 358W 34 X 14(14) 58(72) 9(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
36 415N 358W 50 X X( X) 41(41) 11(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53)
36 415N 358W 64 X X( X) 16(16) 7(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
48 433N 317W 34 X X( X) 19(19) 37(56) 11(67) X(67) X(67)
48 433N 317W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 8(35) X(35) X(35)
48 433N 317W 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)
72 468N 239W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) 7(46) X(46)
72 468N 239W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18)
72 468N 239W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 504N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 4(30)
96 504N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
96 504N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 550N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17)
120 550N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 550N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 70 65 60 55 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
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