719
FONT13 KNHC 230230
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 370N 471W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 370N 471W 50 82 5(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
12 370N 471W 64 13 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
24 385N 426W 34 14 77(91) 4(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 385N 426W 50 X 63(63) 8(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
24 385N 426W 64 X 19(19) 7(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
36 400N 380W 34 X 17(17) 62(79) 7(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
36 400N 380W 50 X 1( 1) 45(46) 9(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
36 400N 380W 64 X X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
48 421N 337W 34 X X( X) 18(18) 44(62) 9(71) X(71) X(71)
48 421N 337W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 7(35) X(35) X(35)
48 421N 337W 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
72 455N 260W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 40(42) 7(49) 1(50)
72 455N 260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19)
72 455N 260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 490N 180W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) 4(31)
96 490N 180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
96 490N 180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 530N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17)
120 530N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 530N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 65 65 60 55 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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