674
FONT13 KNHC 221442
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 362N 516W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 362N 516W 50 77 8(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 362N 516W 64 37 7(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
24 379N 474W 34 13 73(86) 6(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
24 379N 474W 50 X 48(48) 10(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
24 379N 474W 64 X 16(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
36 400N 428W 34 X 8( 8) 63(71) 9(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81)
36 400N 428W 50 X X( X) 36(36) 9(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
36 400N 428W 64 X X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
48 424N 375W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 51(58) 12(70) X(70) X(70)
48 424N 375W 50 X X( X) X( X) 24(24) 9(33) 1(34) X(34)
48 424N 375W 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)
72 475N 290W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 10(56) X(56)
72 475N 290W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 5(23) X(23)
72 475N 290W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 525N 200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 7(38)
96 525N 200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16)
96 525N 200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 565N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 13(25)
120 565N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
120 565N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 65 65 65 55 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
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