187 
 WTNT22 KNHC 040232
 TCMAT2
 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
 0300 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND
 CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
 VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING.
  
 THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF WATCH HILL
 RHODE ISLAND AND FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
 MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND...AND
 BLOCK ISLAND
 * STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
 * THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
 * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
 LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
 * THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  69.7W AT 04/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  22 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
 50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  69.7W AT 04/0300Z
 AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N  70.9W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.1N  66.6W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.2N  61.6W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...170NE 180SE 150SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N  56.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 55.5N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...210NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 57.0N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW 240NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N  69.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN