566
FONT13 KNHC 212037
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC THU SEP 21 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 327N 559W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 327N 559W 50 80 8(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
12 327N 559W 64 41 9(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
24 354N 532W 34 20 69(89) 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 354N 532W 50 X 54(54) 10(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
24 354N 532W 64 X 22(22) 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
36 379N 491W 34 X 10(10) 66(76) 8(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
36 379N 491W 50 X X( X) 39(39) 8(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
36 379N 491W 64 X X( X) 15(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
48 407N 437W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 53(58) 12(70) X(70) X(70)
48 407N 437W 50 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32)
48 407N 437W 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
72 465N 325W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) 11(51) X(51)
72 465N 325W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19)
72 465N 325W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
96 520N 230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 7(39)
96 520N 230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16)
96 520N 230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 580N 180W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 17(25)
120 580N 180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
120 580N 180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 70 70 65 60 60 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
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