020 
 FOPZ12 KNHC 080230
 PWSEP2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37      
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
 0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 151N 1323W 34  8   5(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
  12 151N 1323W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  12 151N 1323W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  24 150N 1337W 34  1   9(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
  24 150N 1337W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  24 150N 1337W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  36 150N 1350W 34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  36 150N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  36 150N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  48 150N 1362W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  48 150N 1362W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  48 150N 1362W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     25     25      20      20       0       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BERG/AVILA