380 
 WTNT44 KNHC 222031
 TCDAT4
 TROPICAL STORM DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  39
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
 500 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2007
  
 AROUND 1630 UTC...THE CENTER OF DEAN MADE LANDFALL IN MEXICO AS A
 CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE NEAR THE TOWN OF TECOLUTLA...ABOUT 40 MILES
 SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.  
 
 ALTHOUGH DEAN CONTINUES TO GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION...THE OVERALL
 CLOUD PATTERN HAS DETERIORATED.  THE INITIAL ADVISORY INTENSITY IS
 SET AT 60 KT.  HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE
 LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.  THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15.  DEAN
 IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND THE SURFACE
 CIRCULATION SHOULD DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.
  
 THE PRIMARY THREAT IS RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
 THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
 AND CENTRAL MEXICO. 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      22/2100Z 20.5N  98.1W    60 KT...INLAND
  12HR VT     23/0600Z 20.5N 100.5W    30 KT...INLAND
  24HR VT     23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN