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FONT13 KNHC 210843
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC THU SEP 21 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 301N 565W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 301N 565W 50 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 301N 565W 64 60 14(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 328N 553W 34 29 65(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 328N 553W 50 1 67(68) 11(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 328N 553W 64 X 42(42) 13(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
36 356N 527W 34 X 22(22) 61(83) 8(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
36 356N 527W 50 X 1( 1) 49(50) 11(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
36 356N 527W 64 X X( X) 26(26) 7(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
48 385N 487W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 52(66) 11(77) X(77) X(77)
48 385N 487W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 9(40) X(40) X(40)
48 385N 487W 64 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19)
72 439N 391W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 10(53) X(53)
72 439N 391W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 5(21) X(21)
72 439N 391W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
96 480N 300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 7(38)
96 480N 300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16)
96 480N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 530N 220W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21)
120 530N 220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
120 530N 220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 90 85 75 65 60 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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