768
FONT13 KNHC 210232
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 286N 570W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 286N 570W 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 286N 570W 64 79 9(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
24 312N 563W 34 37 56(93) 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 312N 563W 50 2 67(69) 11(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
24 312N 563W 64 X 48(48) 12(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
36 340N 545W 34 X 25(25) 57(82) 8(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91)
36 340N 545W 50 X 3( 3) 47(50) 11(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
36 340N 545W 64 X X( X) 28(28) 7(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
48 372N 512W 34 X X( X) 15(15) 48(63) 13(76) X(76) X(76)
48 372N 512W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 9(41) 1(42) X(42)
48 372N 512W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20)
72 430N 420W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 11(56) X(56)
72 430N 420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23) X(23)
72 430N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 480N 320W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 7(40)
96 480N 320W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17)
96 480N 320W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 520N 240W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22)
120 520N 240W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
120 520N 240W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 90 85 75 70 65 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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