230
FOPZ12 KNHC 061437
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 175N 1289W 34 31 14(45) X(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
12 175N 1289W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 175N 1289W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 179N 1312W 34 1 33(34) 8(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 179N 1312W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 179N 1312W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 180N 1332W 34 X 7( 7) 21(28) 7(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37)
36 180N 1332W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 180N 1332W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 180N 1349W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29)
48 180N 1349W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 180N 1349W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 180N 1380W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 1(16)
72 180N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 180N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 180N 1410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
96 180N 1410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 180N 1410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 180N 1435W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 180N 1435W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 180N 1435W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 40 40 30 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN
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