674 
 WTNT23 KNHC 270247
 TCMAT3
 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132004
 0300Z MON SEP 27 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  46.1W AT 27/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  46.1W AT 27/0300Z
 AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  46.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.8N  46.4W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.4N  47.4W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.0N  48.4W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.4N  49.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.5N  50.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 29.0N  50.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 31.0N  51.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  46.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
  
  
 $$