131 
 WTNT24 KNHC 201447
 TCMAT4
 HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
 1500 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
 SOUTH OF PROGRESSO SOUTHWARD TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.  A HURRICANE
 WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
 WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
 AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE
 WARNING SOUTHWARD FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA.  A
 HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF BELIZE.
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO.
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE
 WARNING FOR JAMAICA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
 YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE NORTHWARD
 TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
 CAYMAN ISLANDS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
 CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF
 GUANTANAMO.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES
 OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
 SPIRITUS... CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE SOUTHERN GULF
 OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  82.4W AT 20/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  925 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
 64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 34 KT.......180NE 150SE  85SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 350SE 275SW 300NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  82.4W AT 20/1500Z
 AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  81.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.2N  85.1W
 MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 34 KT...180NE 150SE  85SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N  88.6W...INLAND
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...180NE 150SE  50SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.9N  92.2W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...180NE 120SE  75SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N  95.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 34 KT...180NE 120SE  75SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 102.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  82.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER FRANKLIN