843 
 WTNT22 KNHC 011454
 TCMAT2
 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
 1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2010
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
 STATES FROM BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
 CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
 SOUNDS.
  
 THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH
 CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF
 BOGUE INLET.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
 CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
 SOUNDS.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
 DELAWARE.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 * FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
 TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
 PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
 AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
 THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  72.1W AT 01/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  15 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 50 KT.......120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
 12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 210SW 360NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  72.1W AT 01/1500Z
 AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  71.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N  73.7W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N  75.0W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N  75.2W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.0N  73.6W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N  66.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW  90NW.
 34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 150NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 55.0N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  72.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA