008
FOPZ12 KNHC 052028
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 171N 1244W 34 72 9(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
12 171N 1244W 50 10 7(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
12 171N 1244W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 175N 1264W 34 2 52(54) 7(61) 2(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)
24 175N 1264W 50 X 12(12) 5(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
24 175N 1264W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 177N 1280W 34 X 14(14) 28(42) 8(50) 2(52) 1(53) X(53)
36 177N 1280W 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
36 177N 1280W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 177N 1296W 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 16(33) 7(40) 1(41) X(41)
48 177N 1296W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
48 177N 1296W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
72 177N 1325W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 5(26) 1(27)
72 177N 1325W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 177N 1325W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 177N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 2(16)
96 177N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 177N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 177N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
120 177N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 177N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 50 50 50 45 40 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
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