338 
 FOPZ14 KNHC 220843
 PWSEP4
 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27           
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
 0900 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
 LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 226N 1374W 34 24   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
  12 226N 1374W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  12 226N 1374W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  24 229N 1391W 34  3  11(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  24 229N 1391W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  24 229N 1391W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  36 231N 1412W 34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  36 231N 1412W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  36 231N 1412W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  48 233N 1435W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  48 233N 1435W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  48 233N 1435W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     30     25      20      20       0       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER PASCH/FIORINO