008 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 142050
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122004
 2100Z TUE SEP 14 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 130.6W AT 14/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 130.6W AT 14/2100Z
 AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 130.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 131.1W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 131.6W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.6N 132.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.8N 132.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.0N 132.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.0N 133.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.0N 133.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 130.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 $$