247
WTPA21 PHFO 140233
TCMCP1
TROPICAL STORM PALI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012016
0300 UTC THU JAN 14 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ON HOWLAND AND BAKER ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF PALI.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 2.7N 172.2W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 2.7N 172.2W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 2.9N 171.9W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 2.2N 173.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 1.8N 174.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 1.4N 175.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 1.4N 177.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 1.7N 179.5E
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 2.3N 176.8E
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 3.0N 174.0E
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 2.7N 172.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
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