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 010 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 221458
 TCDEP2
 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2008
  
 FAUSTO IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE COOL WATERS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
 PACIFIC.  THERE HAS BEEN NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
 CYCLONE SINCE ABOUT 07Z OVERNIGHT.  DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND
 SAB...CONSTRAINED BY THE DVORAK RULES...WOULD STILL SUGGEST ABOUT A
 40 TO 50 KT TROPICAL STORM.  A 0925Z AMSU PASS SUGGESTED WINDS OF
 43 KT FROM THE CIMSS TECHNIQUE.  GIVEN THE LACK OF CONVECTION
 SINCE...THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KT.
  
 CURRENT MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT...THOUGH THE
 INITIAL POSITION IS NOT CERTAIN WITH NO MICROWAVE PASSES OVERNIGHT. 
 FAUSTO WILL BE ADVECTED ALONG TOWARD WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE
 LOWER-LEVEL FLOW AS IT DISSIPATES.
  
 AS FAUSTO'S TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE IT OVER COOL WATERS AND
 STABLE...DRY AIR...THERE MAY NOT BE ANY CONVECTION RE-OCCURRING IN
 THE CYCLONE.  IF SO...FAUSTO SHOULD BE DECLARED A REMNANT LOW IN 24
 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
   
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      22/1500Z 20.9N 120.8W    35 KT
  12HR VT     23/0000Z 21.3N 122.3W    30 KT
  24HR VT     23/1200Z 21.9N 124.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     24/0000Z 22.5N 125.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     24/1200Z 22.9N 127.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER LANDSEA/BLAKE
  
 
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