935 
 FOPZ12 KNHC 050244
 PWSEP2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25      
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
 0300 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 161N 1206W 34 18   3(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
  12 161N 1206W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  12 161N 1206W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  24 161N 1218W 34  3   9(12)   2(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
  24 161N 1218W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  24 161N 1218W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  36 162N 1231W 34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
  36 162N 1231W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  36 162N 1231W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  48 164N 1245W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
  48 164N 1245W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  48 164N 1245W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  
  72 170N 1275W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  72 170N 1275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  72 170N 1275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     30     25      20      20      20       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART