667 
 WTNT24 KNHC 040848
 TCMAT4
 
 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
 0900 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
 NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
 BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
 PROVIDENCE.
 
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH WITH
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * HAITI
 * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
 GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
 * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
 ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
 * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
 SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
 * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
 BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
 NEW PROVIDENCE
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
 * JAMAICA
 * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
 HAITI
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
 THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.  TROPICAL
 STORM AND/OR HURRICANE WATCHES ARE LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE
 FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS LATER THIS MORNING.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  74.4W AT 04/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
 64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  74.4W AT 04/0900Z
 AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  74.5W
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N  74.3W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N  74.6W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.8N  75.5W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.6N  76.9W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.0N  79.6W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 34 KT...210NE 200SE 110SW 170NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 31.7N  79.7W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 35.5N  75.5W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  74.4W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI