383 
 WTNT21 KNHC 032031
 TCMAT1
  
 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
 2100 UTC SAT OCT 03 2015
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BERMUDA
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BERMUDA
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR BERMUDA...THE
 TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
 HOURS.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  70.5W AT 03/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  15 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
 64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  90SE  50SW  45NW.
 34 KT.......140NE 180SE 100SW  80NW.
 12 FT SEAS..420NE 240SE 240SW 540NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  70.5W AT 03/2100Z
 AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  71.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N  68.7W
 MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  45NW.
 34 KT...140NE 180SE 100SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.5N  67.0W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  45NW.
 34 KT...140NE 180SE 100SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.7N  66.0W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  45NW.
 34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 36.0N  64.0W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  45NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 40.0N  56.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...150NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 45.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  70.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA