195 
 WTNT24 KNHC 190843
 TCMAT4
 HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
 0900 UTC SUN AUG 19 2007
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
 OF HAITI FROM WEST OF THE HAITI-DOMINICAN BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
 ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
 COMPLETION.
  
 AT 5 AM EDT....0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
 HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN
 REPUBLIC.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HAITI NORTH
 OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
 CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF
 GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
 CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...
 CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.  A TROPICAL STORM
 WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
 WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING
 WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
 PROGRESS OF DEAN.
  
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
 PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  73.4W AT 19/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  921 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
 64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 150SW 300NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  73.4W AT 19/0900Z
 AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  72.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.1N  76.0W
 MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.9N  79.5W
 MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N  83.0W
 MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N  86.6W
 MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.0N  93.5W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N  99.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.5N 103.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  73.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN