012 
 WTNT43 KNHC 150835
 TCDAT3
 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 5 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004
  
 CHARLEY IS JUST BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...WITH ABOUT THE ONLY
 EVIDENCE OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS REMAINING BEING THE RELATIVELY
 SMALL WIND CORE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS POSSESSED SINCE IT FIRST
 FORMED.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT AND CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
 1012 MB ARE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.  CHARLEY SHOULD BECOME
 COMPLETELY EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HR OR LESS.
  
 THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/26.  CHARLEY SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY
 NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN
 A FRONTAL ZONE IN 72-96 HR.
  
 FORECASTER JARVINEN
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      15/0900Z 40.8N  73.0W    35 KT
  12HR VT     15/1800Z 43.5N  69.5W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  24HR VT     16/0600Z 45.5N  65.0W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  36HR VT     16/1800Z 47.3N  59.9W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  48HR VT     17/0600Z 48.4N  55.1W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
   
  
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