911 
 FOPZ14 KNHC 211431
 PWSEP4
 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24           
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
 LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 222N 1362W 34 11   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
  12 222N 1362W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  12 222N 1362W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  24 226N 1374W 34  1   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  24 226N 1374W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  24 226N 1374W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  36 229N 1386W 34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
  36 229N 1386W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  36 229N 1386W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  48 232N 1404W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
  48 232N 1404W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  48 232N 1404W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  
  72 235N 1440W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  72 235N 1440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  72 235N 1440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     25     20      20      20      20       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN