000
FONT13 KNHC 180846
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC MON SEP 18 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 231N 504W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 231N 504W 50 91 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 231N 504W 64 70 11(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 237N 517W 34 76 19(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
24 237N 517W 50 18 52(70) 9(79) 2(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83)
24 237N 517W 64 6 42(48) 10(58) 2(60) 1(61) 1(62) X(62)
36 240N 533W 34 9 51(60) 23(83) 5(88) 4(92) X(92) X(92)
36 240N 533W 50 1 23(24) 31(55) 9(64) 4(68) 1(69) 1(70)
36 240N 533W 64 X 11(11) 26(37) 8(45) 3(48) X(48) 1(49)
48 243N 550W 34 2 15(17) 36(53) 20(73) 9(82) 2(84) 1(85)
48 243N 550W 50 X 3( 3) 21(24) 21(45) 10(55) 3(58) X(58)
48 243N 550W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 15(27) 8(35) 2(37) X(37)
72 260N 575W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 19(29) 31(60) 8(68) 2(70)
72 260N 575W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 24(32) 7(39) 2(41)
72 260N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) 1(24)
96 282N 589W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 16(49) 6(55)
96 282N 589W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 10(23) 3(26)
96 282N 589W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16)
120 300N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 20(34) 9(43)
120 300N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19)
120 300N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 110 115 115 110 105 100 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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