715 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 220255
 TCDEP2
 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
 800 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2008
  
 DESPITE BEING OVER 23.5 DEGREE CELSIUS SSTS...FAUSTO IS HOLDING ITS
 OWN...FOR NOW.  LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NEW BURST
 OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER.  BASED ON THIS TREND...THE
 INITIAL ADVISORY IS HELD AT 60 KT.  GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK OVER
 PROGRESSIVE COOLER WATERS...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
 LATER TONIGHT.  IN FACT...FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT
 LOW IN ABOUT 2 DAYS...IF NOT SOONER. 
  
 FAUSTO IS MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER THAN BEFORE WITH AN INITIAL MOTION
 ESTIMATE OF 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT. AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS...IT WILL
 BECOME A MORE SHALLOW SYSTEM AND BE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.
 THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR
 SO. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE
 PREVIOUS ONE. 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      22/0300Z 21.2N 118.9W    60 KT
  12HR VT     22/1200Z 21.6N 120.3W    50 KT
  24HR VT     23/0000Z 21.9N 122.1W    40 KT
  36HR VT     23/1200Z 22.4N 123.8W    30 KT
  48HR VT     24/0000Z 22.8N 125.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     25/0000Z 23.5N 128.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  96HR VT     26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
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