545 
 WTNT24 KNHC 032032
 TCMAT4
  
 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
 2100 UTC MON OCT 03 2016
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
 THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
 SAN
 SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE 
 NORTHWESTERN
 BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY 
 ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW 
 PROVIDENCE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * JAMAICA
 * HAITI
 * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
 GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
 * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
 ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
 * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
 SAN
 SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
 * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
 BERRY
 ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW 
 PROVIDENCE
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
 HAITI
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND IN THE 
 FLORIDA
 PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
 MATTHEW.
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
 FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 
 OR
 DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
 RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  74.7W AT 03/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
 64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  74.7W AT 03/2100Z
 AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  74.9W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.4N  74.6W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N  74.4W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N  74.7W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.8N  75.5W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N  78.0W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...210NE 190SE 130SW 170NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N  79.0W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N  78.0W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  74.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN