898 
 WTNT23 KNHC 250230
 TCMAT3
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132004
 0300Z SAT SEP 25 2004
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  44.7W AT 25/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  44.7W AT 25/0300Z
 AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  44.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N  45.7W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N  46.7W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.2N  47.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.0N  47.7W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.5N  48.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 27.0N  48.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 30.0N  48.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  44.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
  
  
 $$