940 
 WTNT24 KNHC 031453
 TCMAT4
 
 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
 1500 UTC MON OCT 03 2016
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * JAMAICA
 * HAITI
 * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
 GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
 * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
 ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
 * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
 SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
 HAITI
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND IN THE
 FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF MATTHEW.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  75.0W AT 03/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  75.0W AT 03/1500Z
 AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  74.9W
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.0N  74.7W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.9N  74.5W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N  74.5W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 34 KT...170NE 150SE 100SW 115NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.6N  74.9W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.5N  76.5W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 160NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 28.5N  77.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.0N  77.0W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  75.0W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN