548 
 WTNT23 KNHC 141425
 TCMAT3
 HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
 1500Z SAT AUG 14 2004
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
 SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE
 INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
 CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY.  AT 11 AM EDT...HURRICANE WARNINGS
 ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH
 CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY
 INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS. 
 AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM
 SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NEW YORK
 HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  79.0W AT 14/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  24 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  79.0W AT 14/1500Z
 AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  79.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.7N  76.9W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 41.0N  74.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 44.6N  69.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 47.0N  65.0W...EXTRATOPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 49.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 49.0N  44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 49.0N  31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N  79.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
  
 $$