183 
 WTNT23 KNHC 140857
 TCMAT3
 HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
 0900Z SAT AUG 14 2004
  
 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
 TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS
 NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH
 CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
 SOUNDS.
  
 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
 NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
 CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
 EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE TO SANDY HOOK
 INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS.
  
 AT 5 AM EST...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
 SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND
 LONG ISLAND SOUND.
  
 AT 5 AM EST...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM
 ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  80.5W AT 14/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  22 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  50SE  20SW  10NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  75SE  30SW  25NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  80.5W AT 14/0900Z
 AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  80.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 34.3N  78.8W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT...  0NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 75NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 39.0N  75.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 75NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 43.5N  72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 47.0N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  80.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$
 
 
 337 
 WTNT25 KNHC 140857
 TCMAT5
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052004
 0900Z SAT AUG 14 2004
  
 WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER
 TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
 SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  49.8W AT 14/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 291 DEGREES AT  17 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  49.8W AT 14/0900Z
 AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  49.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 10.7N  52.2W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.0N  56.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.6N  59.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.8N  63.9W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.7N  71.1W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 18.6N  76.9W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.0N  81.4W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N  49.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER JARVINEN
  
  
 $$