006 
 FOPZ12 KNHC 032017
 PWSEP2
 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20           
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
 2100 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
 LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 175N 1181W 34 42  12(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
  12 175N 1181W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  12 175N 1181W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  24 173N 1182W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  24 173N 1182W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  24 173N 1182W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  36 175N 1195W 34  7   7(14)   9(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
  36 175N 1195W 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  36 175N 1195W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  48 180N 1216W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
  48 180N 1216W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  48 180N 1216W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  
  72 189N 1263W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  72 189N 1263W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  72 189N 1263W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     35     35      30      25      20       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER FIORINO/FRANKLIN