315 
 WTNT23 KNHC 240234
 TCMAT3
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132004
 0300Z FRI SEP 24 2004
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  42.0W AT 24/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  42.0W AT 24/0300Z
 AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  41.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.1N  42.8W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N  44.1W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.9N  45.1W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  46.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.0N  47.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 24.0N  48.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 28.5N  48.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  42.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
  
  
 $$