730
FOPZ15 KNHC 251448
PWSEP5
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
1500 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 219N 1176W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 219N 1176W 50 72 5(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
12 219N 1176W 64 34 5(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 221N 1187W 34 56 20(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 221N 1187W 50 11 23(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
24 221N 1187W 64 2 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 222N 1197W 34 16 26(42) 6(48) 2(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
36 222N 1197W 50 1 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 222N 1197W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 222N 1207W 34 6 13(19) 8(27) 3(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32)
48 222N 1207W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 222N 1207W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 220N 1225W 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15)
72 220N 1225W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 220N 1225W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 215N 1245W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 215N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 215N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 55 40 30 25 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BEVEN
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for ILEANA
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|
