072 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 120852
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122004
 0900Z SUN SEP 12 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 123.5W AT 12/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 123.5W AT 12/0900Z
 AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 123.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.4N 125.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.4N 127.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.4N 128.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.4N 129.8W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.4N 132.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 17.4N 133.4W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 17.4N 134.8W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 123.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER JARVINEN
  
  
 $$