037
WTPA22 PHFO 222045
TCMCP2
HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032009
2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2009
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 166.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 165SE 85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 165SE 70SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 166.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.4W
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.8N 166.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 85SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.4N 165.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 85SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.0N 164.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.0N 163.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 160.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 35.6N 156.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 40.9N 151.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 166.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BURKE
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