957
FONT13 KNHC 160245
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 179N 451W 34 94 3(97) X(97) X(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98)
12 179N 451W 50 46 16(62) 1(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
12 179N 451W 64 16 8(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
24 189N 467W 34 27 54(81) 6(87) 3(90) X(90) X(90) 1(91)
24 189N 467W 50 2 37(39) 11(50) 2(52) 1(53) 1(54) X(54)
24 189N 467W 64 X 17(17) 7(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) 1(28)
36 198N 481W 34 3 37(40) 29(69) 9(78) 5(83) 1(84) X(84)
36 198N 481W 50 X 8( 8) 26(34) 9(43) 4(47) 2(49) X(49)
36 198N 481W 64 X 3( 3) 14(17) 6(23) 3(26) 1(27) 1(28)
48 207N 494W 34 1 10(11) 31(42) 21(63) 11(74) 2(76) 1(77)
48 207N 494W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 18(32) 9(41) 3(44) X(44)
48 207N 494W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 7(22) 1(23) 1(24)
72 224N 518W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 18(25) 30(55) 8(63) 2(65)
72 224N 518W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 20(28) 6(34) 2(36)
72 224N 518W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19) 1(20)
96 240N 546W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 18(44) 8(52)
96 240N 546W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22) 4(26)
96 240N 546W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14)
120 260N 570W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) 11(36)
120 260N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16)
120 260N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 70 75 90 100 100 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for HELENE
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|
