842 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 170230
 TCDEP5
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  15
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102008
 800 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 2008
  
 ALL THAT REMAINS OF ISELLE IS AN EXPOSED SWIRL OF CLOUDS WELL
 DISPLACED FROM A RAPIDLY DIMINISHING SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS TO
 THE WEST.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE SYSTEM NO LONGER MEETS THE CRITERIA
 OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE INTERMITTENT PERIODS
 OF CONVECTIVE BURSTS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT IT IS BELIEVED
 THAT THESE BRIEF EPISODES WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO
 RE-DEVELOP THE REMNANTS OF ISELLE.
 
 THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING...HOWEVER
 THE DYNAMICAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A GRADUAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
 MOTION SHOULD COMMENCE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 
 AFTERWARD...THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE
 CIRCULATION DISSIPATES IN AROUND 4 DAYS...IF NOT SOONER.
 
 THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON ISELLE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
 CENTER.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF ISELLE CAN BE FOUND
 IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
 SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      17/0300Z 18.6N 112.7W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
  12HR VT     17/1200Z 18.7N 113.2W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  24HR VT     18/0000Z 18.9N 114.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     18/1200Z 19.0N 115.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     19/0000Z 19.0N 115.8W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     20/0000Z 19.0N 117.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  96HR VT     21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA