668
FOPZ14 KNHC 190240
PWSEP4
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 176N 1296W 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 176N 1296W 50 72 10(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
12 176N 1296W 64 38 11(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
24 184N 1314W 34 30 46(76) 5(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
24 184N 1314W 50 2 32(34) 6(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
24 184N 1314W 64 X 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 193N 1329W 34 3 27(30) 19(49) 4(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54)
36 193N 1329W 50 X 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 193N 1329W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 200N 1342W 34 1 7( 8) 14(22) 8(30) 3(33) 1(34) X(34)
48 200N 1342W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 200N 1342W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 210N 1365W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 1(13)
72 210N 1365W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 210N 1365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 215N 1390W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
96 215N 1390W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 215N 1390W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 220N 1425W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 220N 1425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 220N 1425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 65 50 40 30 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
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