911 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 182036
 TCMEP5
 HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
 2100 UTC SUN OCT 18 2009
  
 INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
 MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
 HURRICANE. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
 SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.4W AT 18/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  921 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
 64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 210SW 210NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.4W AT 18/2100Z
 AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 109.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.1N 110.7W
 MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.3N 111.7W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.4N 111.9W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 111.4W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...140NE 140SE 105SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.0N 109.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 130SE 105SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 26.0N 106.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 109.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN