857
WTPA22 PHFO 220248
TCMCP2
HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032009
0300 UTC THU OCT 22 2009
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI WITHIN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT HAS BEEN
CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 166.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 45SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......220NE 160SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 165SE 70SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 166.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 166.7W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.9N 166.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...225NE 165SE 85SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.4N 166.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 55SE 50SW 55NW.
34 KT...220NE 160SE 75SW 95NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.1N 166.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.8N 165.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 90SW 95NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 27.4N 163.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 55SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 135SE 105SW 95NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 29.9N 161.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 34.0N 158.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 166.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER WROE
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