374
FOPZ14 KNHC 182033
PWSEP4
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
2100 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 173N 1286W 34 96 2(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 173N 1286W 50 72 10(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
12 173N 1286W 64 37 12(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
24 180N 1305W 34 26 53(79) 6(85) X(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86)
24 180N 1305W 50 2 38(40) 7(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 180N 1305W 64 X 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
36 187N 1319W 34 3 35(38) 20(58) 4(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64)
36 187N 1319W 50 X 6( 6) 15(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 187N 1319W 64 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 195N 1330W 34 1 10(11) 21(32) 10(42) 4(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 195N 1330W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14)
48 195N 1330W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 205N 1350W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 8(20) 3(23) 1(24)
72 205N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 205N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 210N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
96 210N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 210N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 215N 1410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 215N 1410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 215N 1410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 70 60 50 40 30 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/LANDSEA
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