511 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 090237
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072010
 0300 UTC MON AUG 09 2010
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 111.7W AT 09/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 111.7W AT 09/0300Z
 AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 111.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.9N 112.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  35NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.8N 113.4W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.7N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 111.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH